08 Jul 2022
Reserve Bank continues the process of normalising monetary policy
At its July 5 meeting, the Reserve Bank Board raised the cash rate a further by 50 basis points to 1.35 per cent, the third increase in as many months. This continues the process of normalising the cash rate, winding back the extraordinary monetary support provided during the pandemic, when the cash rate was lowered to just 0.1 per cent.
The Reserve Bank indicated that it expects inflation to peak later this year, before settling back to its target range of 2 to 3 per cent range later next year. The statement notes that “…The Board expects to take further steps in the process of normalising monetary conditions in Australia over the months ahead,” signalling it will continue to raise the cash rate over the remainder of the year.
Despite increasing inflationary pressure, the Australian economy remains resilient. Household spending continuing to increase, with retail sales up a further 0.9 per cent in May and 10.4 per cent for the year, supported by elevated household savings and strong income growth. The tight labour market with high employment and participation as well as low unemployment, will also support economic activity going forward.
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